IARPA is funding us as part of the FUSE program to learn how to detect emerging opportunities in science and technology as early as possible. The FUSE program is also exploring how the use of full text sources can be used to enhance this detection capability.
We have developed a technique to locate the most “emergent” opportunities in science and technology using our detailed dynamic maps. The top 25 emergent locations on the map in 2010 are shown above. We have analyzed a number of these emergent opportunities from years 2007-2010, and have found that roughly 10% are triggered by an external event (such as an outbreak of a disease). Of the remainder, half are based on scientific discoveries, while the other half are based on breakthroughs in technology.